Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 11

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705
WTNT24 KNHC 150853
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 77.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 77.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 77.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.0N 77.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.6N 77.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.1N 76.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.5N 75.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.3N 71.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 33.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 38.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N 77.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN