Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 16

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984
WTNT24 KNHC 161450
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HUMBERTO SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
BERMUDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 76.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 76.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 76.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.1N 75.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.4N 74.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.7N 72.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.3N 70.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.7N 65.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.9N 60.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.8N 56.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 76.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART