Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 18

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201
WTNT24 KNHC 170232
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
0300 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 75.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 75.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 75.5W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.7N 74.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.1N 72.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.6N 70.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.8N 66.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.1N 60.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 40.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 43.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 75.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 17/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH