Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 22



233
WTNT21 KNHC 180247
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 95.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 95.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 95.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.5N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.2N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.8N 95.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.7N 95.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 95.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON IMELDA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING
AT 5 AM EDT, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH, AND
ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




750
WTNT25 KNHC 180251
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.7W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.7W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 46.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.4N 48.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.3N 50.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.2N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N 56.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 24.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 46.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




690
WTNT24 KNHC 180255
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 71.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE 230SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 71.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 71.6W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 32.0N 68.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.4N 65.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.6N 60.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 42.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 44.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 49.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 71.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 18/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH