Hurricane Humberto
Forecast Advisory 25
771
WTNT25 KNHC 182040
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
2100 UTC WED SEP 18 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. MAARTEN.
METEO-FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. MARTIN AND
ST. BARTHELEMY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF JERRY. FURTHER WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED THIS EVENING
OR OVERNIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 50.5W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 50.5W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 49.9W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.7N 52.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.7N 55.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.8N 58.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.1N 61.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.2N 70.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 50.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
127
WTNT24 KNHC 182044
TCMAT4
HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
2100 UTC WED SEP 18 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 66.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 510SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 66.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 67.2W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 34.6N 63.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.4N 61.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 39.8N 60.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 41.6N 58.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 43.9N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 49.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED/ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 66.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 19/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
