Hurricane Humberto

Forecast Advisory 28

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065
WTNT24 KNHC 191448
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019
1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 60.0W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......220NE 170SE 160SW 350NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 960SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 60.0W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 60.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.8N 58.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 41.2N 57.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 43.2N 54.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 44.6N 49.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





458
WTNT25 KNHC 191452
TCMAT5

HURRICANE JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
1500 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBUDA
* ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF JERRY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 54.4W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 54.4W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 53.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 59.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 62.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.7N 64.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.5N 68.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 70.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 54.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE