Hurricane Jerry
Forecast Advisory 28
333
WTNT25 KNHC 240829
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
0900 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 68.4W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 20SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 68.4W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 68.4W
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.6N 68.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 20SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.7N 64.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 20SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.6N 61.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.9N 56.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 68.4W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 24/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
054
WTNT22 KNHC 240849
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
0900 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 65.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 65.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 65.8W
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.1N 65.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.1N 65.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.6N 64.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.6N 64.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.3N 62.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 28.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 27.7N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 65.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 24/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
146
WTNT23 KNHC 240853
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
0900 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 28.0W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 20SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 28.0W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 27.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.6N 30.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 40SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.3N 32.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 50SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.9N 35.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 60SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.4N 38.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.0N 41.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 23.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 28.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
