Hurricane Jerry

Forecast Advisory 29

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939
WTNT23 KNHC 241435
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 29.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 29.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 28.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 12.9N 31.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 30SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 13.6N 34.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.2N 36.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 38.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 130SE 70SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 41.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 90SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.1N 44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.9N 45.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 29.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





835
WTNT25 KNHC 241443
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 69.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 20SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 69.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 69.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.7N 68.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 20SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 32.6N 66.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 33.5N 64.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 20SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 34.2N 61.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.0N 57.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 69.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 24/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





020
WTNT22 KNHC 241451
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 65.8W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 65.8W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 65.7W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.1N 65.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.3N 64.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.6N 64.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.5N 63.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.8N 62.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 28.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 27.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 65.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 24/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN