Tropical Storm Karen
Forecast Advisory 11
168
WTNT22 KNHC 242048
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 65.8W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 20SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 65.8W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 65.9W
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.6N 65.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.9N 64.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.2N 64.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.9N 63.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.2N 61.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 27.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 26.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 65.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 25/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
169
WTNT23 KNHC 242048
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 31.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 31.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 30.3W
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 13.2N 33.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 40SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.8N 35.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 70SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.5N 38.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.6N 40.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.8N 42.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.9N 45.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 24.9N 45.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 31.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
170
WTNT25 KNHC 242048
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 69.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 69.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 69.1W
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.9N 67.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.9N 65.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.7N 62.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 34.4N 60.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 56.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 33.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 69.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 25/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
