Tropical Storm Karen
Forecast Advisory 13
770
WTNT22 KNHC 250850
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE GOVERNMENT OF
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 65.2W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 65.2W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 65.2W
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.3N 64.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N 63.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.4N 63.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.3N 62.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.1N 61.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 26.3N 64.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 25.9N 67.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 65.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
920
WTNT25 KNHC 250852
TCMAT5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 67.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 67.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 68.4W
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.3N 66.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.0N 64.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.9N 61.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.6N 59.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.0N 55.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 67.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 25/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
259
WTNT23 KNHC 250855
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 33.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 30SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 33.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 33.2W
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.0N 36.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 50SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.7N 38.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N 40.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 41.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.1N 44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 24.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.4N 43.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 33.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/RAMOS
