Tropical Storm Karen
Forecast Advisory 14
758
WTNT23 KNHC 251435
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 35.1W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE 30SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 35.1W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 34.5W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.4N 37.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 50SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.3N 39.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 40.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.4N 42.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N 44.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 25.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 35.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
663
WTNT22 KNHC 251450
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 64.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 60SE 20SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 75SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 64.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 65.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N 64.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N 63.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.9N 62.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.8N 62.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 26.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 25.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 64.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
242
WTNT25 KNHC 251458
TCMAT5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 66.8W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 40SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 66.8W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 67.4W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 32.6N 65.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 33.4N 62.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 34.3N 60.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.9N 58.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 33.8N 54.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 66.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 25/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
