Tropical Storm Karen

Forecast Advisory 19

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180
WTNT22 KNHC 262034
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 62.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 62.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 63.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.9N 61.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.2N 60.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.1N 60.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.9N 63.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 27.9N 66.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 62.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





501
WTNT23 KNHC 262046
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 40.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT.......220NE 120SE 80SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 40.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 40.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.6N 41.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.6N 43.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.3N 43.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.9N 43.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.5N 42.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 120SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 30.5N 39.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 35.5N 35.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 40.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN