Tropical Storm Karen

Forecast Advisory 22

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767
WTNT22 KNHC 271439
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 59.6W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 59.6W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 29.0N 59.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.1N 59.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 29.3N 60.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.3N 62.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 59.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





924
WTNT23 KNHC 271441
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
1500 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 42.9W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......230NE 190SE 110SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 42.9W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 42.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N 43.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 110SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.6N 44.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 110SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.2N 44.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.9N 43.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.6N 41.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N 37.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 42.5N 28.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 42.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN