Hurricane Lorenzo
Forecast Advisory 1
288
WTNT25 KNHC 230234
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 67.2W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 67.2W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.4N 67.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.8N 68.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.2N 68.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.4N 67.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 35.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 37.3N 54.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 38.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 67.2W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 23/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
640
WTNT23 KNHC 230243
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 20.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 20.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 20.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 10.8N 23.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 11.1N 25.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 11.8N 28.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 12.6N 31.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.8N 36.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 20.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
958
WTNT22 KNHC 230253
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KAREN. ADDITIONAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS ON MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 63.5W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 63.5W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 63.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.9N 64.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.3N 65.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N 65.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.4N 65.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 26.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 63.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 23/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
