Hurricane Lorenzo

Forecast Advisory 21

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231
WTNT22 KNHC 272034
TCMAT2

REMNANTS OF KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019
2100 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 58.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 58.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 58.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 58.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BERG





233
WTNT23 KNHC 272034
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
2100 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 43.6W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE 50SW 130NW.
34 KT.......230NE 220SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 43.6W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 43.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.6N 44.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 130NW.
34 KT...230NE 220SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.3N 44.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 35NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.6N 43.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.3N 41.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 35.5N 36.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 44.0N 26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 43.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN