Hurricane Lorenzo
Forecast Advisory 23
590
WTNT23 KNHC 280842
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 44.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......250NE 170SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 44.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 44.6W
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.7N 44.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.5N 44.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.0N 44.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 27.6N 43.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 160SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.5N 40.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N 32.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 48.0N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 44.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
