Hurricane Lorenzo
Forecast Advisory 24
002
WTNT23 KNHC 281447
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 44.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT.......240NE 190SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 44.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 44.6W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 23.8N 44.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 130SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.6N 44.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.1N 43.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 50SW 55NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 140SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 28.8N 43.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 65NE 65SE 55SW 55NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.3N 39.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 210SW 190NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.5N 29.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 51.0N 16.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 44.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
