Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 3

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810
WTNT24 KNHC 120233
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142019
0300 UTC SAT OCT 12 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR INFORMATION ON WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING HAZARDS...SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 68.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 0SE 180SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..900NE 240SE 540SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 68.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 69.1W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.8N 67.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 38.1N 65.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 120SE 150SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 38.5N 62.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 39.0N 58.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 40.4N 50.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N 68.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG