Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 7

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836
WTNT24 KNHC 130241
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142019
0300 UTC SUN OCT 13 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR INFORMATION ON COASTAL FLOODING HAZARDS...SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 64.0W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 64.0W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 64.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 39.2N 61.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 40.2N 57.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 41.1N 53.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 42.0N 47.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 42.2N 35.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N 64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN