Hurricane Pablo

Forecast Advisory 3



345
WTNT23 KNHC 260835
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019
0900 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 30.3W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 30.3W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 30.7W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 36.6N 27.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 39.5N 23.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 43.0N 21.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 45.3N 21.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 47.5N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...300NE 0SE 0SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N 30.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH