Hurricane Emily

Public Advisory 43



000
WTNT35 KNHC 210832
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

...EMILY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTHERN MEXICO...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES...

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.1 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES...130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MONTERREY MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE
DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

MONTERREY REPORTED 4.09 INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE 6 HOUR PERIOD ENDING
AT 1 AM CDT.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...101.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


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