Tropical Depression Nineteen
Public Advisory 7
000
WTNT34 KNHC 020848
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 02 2005
...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED OVER EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 34.8 WEST OR ABOUT
715 MILES...1155 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS... BUT ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE WINDS COULD MAKE THE
DEPRESSION A TROPICAL STORM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...16.0 N... 34.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
000
WTNT35 KNHC 020854
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005
...TROPICAL STORM STAN MAKING LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
CAMPECHE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST... ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM... SOUTH OF
TULUM MEXICO AND ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
COZUMEL MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STAN WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FOR MOST OF TODAY... BUT IS EXPECTED TO
EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHILE
MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... BUT IT COULD RESTRENGTHEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM SOON AFTER EMERGING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO EARLY MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES... 165
KM... MAINLY TO THE EAST FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...19.6 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
$$
