Tropical Storm Ingrid

Public Advisory 4



000
WTNT33 KNHC 130842
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
500 AM AST THU SEP 13 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST OR ABOUT 930
MILES...1495 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...13.9 N...47.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT34 KNHC 130855
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
400 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007

...HURRICANE HUMBERTO JUST INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF
HIGH ISLAND TO SARGENT TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED OR
DOWNGRADED LATER THIS MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...
95 KM...NORTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS...AND ABOUT 25 MILES... 35
KM...NORTHEAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.

HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK WILL BRING HUMBERTO FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN TEXAS
AND LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTER. HUMBERTO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS HUMBERTO CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30
KM...NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM. AN OBSERVING STATION AT
BEAUMONT TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...96 KM/HR.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 986
MB...29.12 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE TRACK OF
HUMBERTO FROM SOUTHWESTERN TO NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
MOST LIKELY OCCURRED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MADE
LANDFALL AND SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS MORNING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...29.9 N...94.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA