Tropical Storm Karen

Public Advisory 10

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180
WTNT33 KNHC 270844
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
400 AM CDT THU SEP 27 2007

...DEPRESSION DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF
MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT
205 MILES...330 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO AND ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...EAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...
5 KM/HR. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF
VERACRUZ...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...20.8 N...95.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




181
WTNT32 KNHC 270844
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 AM AST THU SEP 27 2007

...KAREN WEAKENS SLIGHTLY OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.6 WEST OR ABOUT 970
MILES...1560 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KAREN IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF
UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AND SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

CURRENT REPORTS FROM NOAA BUOY 41041 AND PREVIOUS REPORTS FROM THE
STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER SHOW THAT KAREN IS A VERY
LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...13.6 N...46.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI