Tropical Storm Melissa

Public Advisory 3

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075
WTNT32 KNHC 290231
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007

...CENTER OF KAREN RE-LOCATED...STORM EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
RE-LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST OR ABOUT
660 MILES...1060 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KAREN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...16.2 N...51.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




076
WTNT34 KNHC 290231
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007

...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.5 WEST OR ABOUT
265 MILES...425 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. A
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.2 N...27.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN