Tropical Storm Melissa

Public Advisory 4

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039
WTNT34 KNHC 290841
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
500 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

...THIRTEENTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.4 WEST OR ABOUT 260
MILES...420 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

MELISSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL TAKE THE DEPRESSION
FARTHER AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...14.1 N...27.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




499
WTNT32 KNHC 290845
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

...KAREN HANGING ON TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST OR ABOUT 590
MILES...950 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KAREN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...16.6 N...52.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI