Hurricane Ike
Public Advisory 10
000
WTNT35 KNHC 032037
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008
...JOSEPHINE WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375
MILES...605 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
MOTION BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY
TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...13.8 N...29.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
000
WTNT32 KWNH 032039
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 41 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
400 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2008
...GUSTAV NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AS HEAVY
RAIN SPREADS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...
MISSOURI...WESTERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
AND NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
ARKANSAS. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.2
WEST...OR 25 MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS
AND 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS.
GUSTAV HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE LAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW
DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING
WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON
THURSDAY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.
...LOUISIANA...
LARTO LAKE 19.00 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
JONESVILLE 7 SW 17.70 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WINNSBORO 5 SSE 16.51 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
BUNKIE 0.3 WSW 16.37 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
CLAYTON 4 NNW 14.54 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
RED RIVER LOCK AND DAM 13.50 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
RAYVILLE 12.13 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
BASTROP 3.2 NNE 10.87 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW 10.44 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
MONROE 9.43
ALEXANDRIA 9.07
BATON ROUGE 4.77
FORT POLK 4.33
LAKE CHARLES 2.43
LAFAYETTE 2.29
NEW ORLEANS NAS 3.10
SHREVEPORT (SHV) 2.23
BARKSDALE AFB 2.12
SHREVEPORT (DTN) 2.10
...MISSISSIPPI...
BUDE (HOMOCHITTO NATIONAL FOREST) 11.53 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE 8.94 (THROUGH 12 PM CDT)
MCCOMB 7.44
HATTIESBURG 6.42
VICKSBURG (TVR) 6.56
SHARKEY 5.80 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
PASCAGOULA 4.61
GREENVILLE 4.54
LAUREL 4.08
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.05
ISSAQUENA 2.69 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HAWKINS FIELD 2.34
GULFPORT 1.83
JACKSON 1.84
GREENWOOD 1.80
...ARKANSAS...
HAMBURG 11.25 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
CROSSETT 2 SSE 10.10 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HAMPTON 9.80 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS (WHITTINGTON CREEK) 8.96 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
LEOLA 8.11 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
WALTREAK 8.05 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
LITTLE ROCK AFB (LRF) 8.02
ARKADELPHIA 7.02 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS 6.35
NIMROD DAM 6.32 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
MONTICELLO 5.76
MOUNT IDA 5.38
TEXARKANA 4.92
LITTLE ROCK (LIT) 4.14
STUTTGART 3.87
FORT SMITH 3.65
FAYETTEVILLE (FYV) 3.64
EL DORADO 3.54
FLIPPIN 3.33
PINE BLUFF 3.18
BATESVILLE 2.99
HARRISON 2.60
SILOAM SPRINGS 2.56
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE (XNA) 2.16
...MISSOURI...
FORSYTH 1.9 SW 3.78 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HOLLISTER 3.8 SW 2.05 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WEST PLAINS 1.39
SPRINGFIELD 0.74
JOPLIN 0.69
FORT LEONDARD WOOD 0.58
...OKLAHOMA...
MCALESTER 1.50
MUSKOGEE 1.15
...TEXAS...
PARIS 1.01
LONGVIEW 0.83
LUFKIN 0.62
...KANSAS...
CHANUTE 1.32
...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA NAS (NPA) 4.03
PENSACOLA (PNS) 2.09
DESTIN 2.08
MARATHON 2.04
KENDALL-TAMIAMI (TMB) 1.92
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 1.69
HOMESTEAD 1.62
VERO BEACH 1.58
KEY WEST 1.46
...ALABAMA...
MOBILE BROOKLEY FIELD (BFM) 3.10
MOBILE (MOB) 2.25
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THURSDAY.
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...33.8 NORTH...94.2 WEST...
MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON GUSTAV.
BRENNAN
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 03/2100Z 33.8N 94.2W
12HR VT 04/0600Z 35.3N 92.9W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 04/1800Z 38.9N 90.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 05/0600Z 42.8N 85.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 05/1800Z 46.9N 79.5W...EXTRATROPICAL OVER CANADA
72HR VT 06/1800Z...OVER CANADA
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 032046
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008
...IKE BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE 2008 ATLANTIC SEASON...
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST OR ABOUT 670 MILES...1080
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30
KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...TAKING IKE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE
WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE
AFFECTED BY IKE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.6 N...52.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
000
WTNT33 KNHC 032052
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT IN HISPANIOLA FROM PORT
AU PRINCE HAITI NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...NORTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 60 MILES
... 95 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA
SHOULD BE MOVING THROUGH OR JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA...WHERE THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
BY FRIDAY MORNING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
THE ADJACENT WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.9 N...71.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
