Hurricane Ike
Public Advisory 15
000
WTNT34 KNHC 042031
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008
...IKE EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD OVERNIGHT....
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES...815
KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...23.6 N...58.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
WTNT35 KNHC 042031
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
500 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008
...JOSEPHINE WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.2 WEST OR ABOUT 590
MILES...945 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.6 N...33.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT32 KWNH 042044
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 45 FOR REMNANTS OF GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
0400 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2008
...GUSTAV BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MUCH OF MISSOURI. FOR
MORE STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 0400 PM CDT...21Z...THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.3
WEST...OR 15 MILES...24 KM...NORTH NORTHEAST OF SAINT LOUIS
MISSOURI.
THE LOW WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 28 MPH. THIS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FORMER GUSTAV HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53
INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
THURSDAY...UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.
...LOUISIANA...
FRANKLIN 20.00
GRAND ISLE 19.19
LARTO LAKE 19.00
HAHA BAYOU JONESVILLE 7 SW 18.87
NE BAY GARDENE NR POINT A LA HACHE 17.76
JONESVILLE 7 SW 17.70
FOOLS RIVER CLAYTON 4 NNW 17.58
WINNSBORO 5 SSE 16.51
BUNKIE 0.3 WSW 16.37 THROUGH 7 AM CDT WED
MISSISSIPPI SOUND AT GRAND PASS 14.84
CLAYTON 4 NNW 14.54
BUNKIE 14.06
RAYVILLE 13.91
RED RIVER LOCK AND DAM 13.50
BAYOU COCODRIE NEAR CLEARWATER 13.88
COMO 13.24
CLEARWATER 12.54
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE 11.95
OAK RIDGE 11.79
BASTROP 3.2 NNE 11.55
BAYOU DES GLAISES AT MOREAUVILLE 11.16
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW 10.98
ALEXANDRIA 9.50
MONROE 9.43
BATON ROUGE 4.81
...MISSISSIPPI...
LAKE WASHINGTON TRIB NR CHATHAM 12.40
UNION CHURCH 11.93
GLOSTER 11.74
BUDE (HOMOCHITTO NATIONAL FOREST) 11.53
HAMBURG 11.25
GREENVILLE 11.09
VICKSBURG 10.75
ROLLING FORK 16.1 WSW 10.56
LIBERTY 6.4 ENE 10.27
STONEVILLE 1 NE 10.26
HOMOCHITTO RIVER AT EDDICETON MS 9.34
CENTREVILLE 9.33
BUFFALO RIVER NEAR WOODVILLE 9.25
VICKSBURG 10.1 NNE 9.06
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE 8.81
MCCOMB 7.59
OAKLEY 7.45
HATTIESBURG 6.42
PASCAGOULA 4.61
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.10
...ARKANSAS...
EUDORA 11.90
BAYOU MACON AT EUDORA 11.74
BISMARCK 11.50
LEOLA 11.26
WHITTINGTON CREEK AT HOT SPRINGS 11.12
FELSENTHAL OUCHITA RIVER 11.00
JACKSONVILLE 10.90
LITTLE ROCK AFB 10.82
HAMPTON 10.65
WARREN 10.33
BENTON 10.26
MORO BAY 10.15
CROSSETT 2 SSE 10.10
MARCHE 9.89
AMITY 9.67
FOURCHE CREEK UNIVERSITY AVE 9.58
MALVERNE 9.57
UNIVERSITY OF AR MONTICELLO 9.51
CENTER RIDGE 4 S 9.27
REMMEL DAM TAILWATER 9.25
ANTOINE 9.23
ARKADELPHIA 9.01
CLEVELAND 9.00
MAUMELLE RIVER AT WILLIAM JUNCTION 8.94
WALTREAK 8.58
HOT SPRINGS 8.14
LITTLE ROCK (LIT) 6.40
FORT SMITH 5.72
TEXARKANA 5.09
...MISSOURI...
JACK FORK AT ALLEY SPRING 11.62
VANDALIA 9.91
MORGAN 1 SE 8.90
ALLEY SPRINGS RANGER STATION 7.91
FORSYTH 1.9 SW 6.98
CHAIN O LAKES 2.0 NE 6.60
REYNOLDS 6.60
EAGLE ROCK 1.5 SW 6.47
BUNKER 4.4 N 6.27
MYRTLE 6.25
SINKIN 6.14
CASSVILLE 0.5 SW 6.03
EL DORADO SPRINGS 0.6 NNW 6.00
PLAD 1 E 5.80
LEBANON 1 E 5.79
WEST PLAINS 3 SW 5.30
JOPLIN 4.93
FT LEONARD WOOD 4.13
SPRINGFIELD 3.48
...OKLAHOMA...
SPIRO 6.17
MCCURTAIN 5.25
KINGSTON 2 S 5.23
NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE 4.70
WISTER 3 S 4.28
VINITA 2.95
BUNCH 0.8N 4.38
TAR CREEK AT MIAMI 2.41
BIG CABIN CREEK NEAR BIG CABIN 2.33
DAVIS FIELD 2.07
MUSKOGEE 2.03
MCCALESTER REGIONAL AIRPORT 1.72
...TEXAS...
TEXARKANA 10 SW 2.60
MARSHALL 15.2 SE 1.73
PARIS 1.07
...KANSAS...
PITTSBURG 0.7 WSW 3.91
SPRING RIVER NEAR BAXTER SPRINGS 3.77
CHEROKEE 0.3N 3.50
MCCUNE 1.6 NW 2.49
GIRARD 3.1 SSW 2.41
STRANGER CREEK NEAR POTTER 2.30
PLEASANTON 0.3 SSE 2.18
CHANUTE 1.83
...ILLINOIS...
ILLINOIS RIVER AT RIPLEY IL 4.30
ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA IL 3.28
PARIS (WATER WORKS) 3.00
ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LARNED KS 2.49
PITTSFIELD 2.24
QUINCY 1.98
...IOWA...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BURLINGTON 2.27
COLUMBIA 2.01
RATHBUN DAM 1.94
CENTERVILLE 0.5 SE 1.42
...TENNESSEE...
MUNFORD 6.8 WNW 2.45
MEMPHIS (MEM) 2.05
...MICHIGAN...
JACKSON 1.2 ENE 1.74
HANOVER 3.8 W 1.54
HUDSON 3E 1.54
...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA NAS (NPA) 4.12
PENSACOLA (PNS) 2.14
DESTIN 2.08
MARATHON 2.04
KENDALL-TAMIAMI (TMB) 1.92
...ALABAMA...
ROBERTSDALE 5 NE 7.56
FAIRHOPE 2.3 N 5.59
MOBILE BROOKLEY FIELD (BFM) 3.10
MOBILE (MOB) 2.30
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM NORTHERN
ILLINOIS INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN...NORTHWESTERN
INDIANA AND MICHIGAN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH
WITH MAXIMA OF 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN ALABAMA THROUGH
THIS EVENING.
REPEATING THE 0400 PM CDT POSITION...39.0 NORTH...90.3
WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 28 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV.
PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.
PETERSEN
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 04/2100Z 39.0N 90.4W...ABSORBED
12HR VT 05/0600Z 42.2N 86.0W...ABSORBED
$$
000
WTNT33 KNHC 042050
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008
...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR HANNA...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO GREAT EGG INLET NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 155
MILES...250 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 625 MILES...1005
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS
EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
TODAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA
WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL...
ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH AND NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE GEORGIA
COAST SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND
MAY RESULT IN FLOODING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...25.5 N...75.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN