Hurricane Ike
Public Advisory 19A
000
WTNT33 KNHC 052356
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
...HANNA RACING NORTHWARD...HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING THE COAST OF
THE CAROLINAS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE
DELAWARE BAY.
THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THIS AREA TONIGHT.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...165 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH
CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD CROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY...THEN MOVE
ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED
FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES
FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST AND COASTAL GEORGIA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...31.6 N...79.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT34 KNHC 052359
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
800 PM AST FRI SEP 05 2008
...THE EYE OF IKE REAPPEARS...STILL HEADING TOWARD THE BAHAMAS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.7 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...
510 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 420
MILES...675 KM...EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...WITH A GENERAL MOTION TO THE WEST EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. ON
THIS TRACK...IKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY
SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS
THE BAHAMAS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...22.8 N...64.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG/AVILA
