Hurricane Igor
Public Advisory 41
000
WTNT33 KNHC 180830
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
400 AM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010
...KARL DISSIPATES OVER THE HIGH MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 97.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM WSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL
ARE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE
SYSTEM WEAKENS FURTHER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
WTNT32 KNHC 180830
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
500 AM AST SAT SEP 18 2010
...JULIA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN....
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 50.1W
ABOUT 1525 MI...2450 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST. JULIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND JULIA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON
MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
WTNT31 KNHC 180834
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
500 AM AST SAT SEP 18 2010
...LARGE HURRICANE IGOR EXPECTED TO APPROACH BERMUDA ON SUNDAY...
...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE THIS EVENING...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 62.8W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGOR WILL
APPROACH BERMUDA LATE SUNDAY. HOWEVER...ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...AND GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON SUNDAY. IGOR IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES BERMUDA.
IGOR IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT
UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049
...LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES...270 KM...NORTH OF THE CENTER OF IGOR
...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH...82 KM/HR...AND A
GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN BERMUDA BY THIS
EVENING...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR
EVENING.
RAINFALL...IGOR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ON BERMUDA. THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COAST.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...HISPANIOLA...AND PORTIONS OF THE
BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
