Hurricane Julia
Public Advisory 18
000
WTNT31 KNHC 161443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1100 AM AST THU SEP 16 2010
...LARGE AND POWERFUL IGOR MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 57.2W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT IGOR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE AND POWERFUL
HURRICANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGOR WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY AND
FRIDAY. THESE SWELLS WILL ALSO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS IN
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SURF CONDITIONS WILL
WORSEN AS IGOR APPROACHES BERMUDA. THE LARGE SWELLS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL REACH THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES LATER TODAY AND FRIDAY THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT31 KNHC 161450
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 34...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1100 AM AST THU SEP 16 2010
CORRECTED FOR MOTION IN HEADLINE
...LARGE AND POWERFUL IGOR MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 57.2W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 910 MI...1465 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT IGOR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE AND POWERFUL
HURRICANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGOR WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY AND
FRIDAY. THESE SWELLS WILL ALSO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS IN
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SURF CONDITIONS WILL
WORSEN AS IGOR APPROACHES BERMUDA. THE LARGE SWELLS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL REACH THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES LATER TODAY AND FRIDAY THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 161451
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
1100 AM AST THU SEP 16 2010
...JULIA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER
OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 38.6W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1280 MI...2060 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.6 WEST. JULIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED
BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED
BY FRIDAY EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JULIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND JULIA COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY FRIDAY
EVENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT33 KNHC 161454
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010
...KARL BECOMES A HURRICANE...HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
MEXICAN GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 92.8W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ...AND FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST. KARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF KARL WILL CROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KARL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
LIKELY...AND KARL COULD APPROACH MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE MEXICAN COAST.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS
983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
WIND...WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MEXICAN GULF COAST
REGION...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE
INTERIOR MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
