Hurricane Julia
Public Advisory 31
000
WTNT32 KNHC 192033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
500 PM AST SUN SEP 19 2010
...JULIA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE NORTH
ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.8N 49.7W
ABOUT 1280 MI...2055 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST. JULIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A MOTION TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED UNTIL JULIA DISSIPATES ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND JULIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
BY MONDAY NIGHT AND DISSIPATE ON TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTNT31 KNHC 192045
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
500 PM AST SUN SEP 19 2010
...LARGE IGOR CONTINUES TO LASH BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 65.9W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATE
TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF IGOR
WILL PASS NEAR OR JUST WEST OF BERMUDA THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. IGOR IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS.
IGOR IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM. THE
OFFICIAL WEATHER OBSERVING SITE IN BERMUDA RECENTLY REPORTED A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 61 MPH...98 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 76 MPH...122
KM/HR.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER BERMUDA THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL...IGOR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 9 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ON BERMUDA. THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COAST.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES THROUGH MONDAY. LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...HISPANIOLA...AND PORTIONS OF
THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
