Hurricane Karl
Public Advisory 14
000
WTNT33 KNHC 172031
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
400 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010
...KARL MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN FASTER...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 96.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM WSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST. KARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KARL SHOULD MOVE
FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. KARL IS NOW
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...WITH KARL EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SATURDAY AND DISSIPATE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
80 MILES...130 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF KARL MOVES FARTHER
INLAND. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE
CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND ALONG THE TRACK
OF THE CENTER TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD
SIDES OF HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS
CAN BE EVEN GREATER.
RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MEXICAN GULF COAST
REGION...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE
INTERIOR MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT31 KNHC 172042
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
500 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2010
...HURRICANE IGOR HEADING NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 61.1W
ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATE
FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING BERMUDA ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
WEAKENING.
IGOR IS AN UNUSUALLY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB...27.96 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN BERMUDA BY LATE
SATURDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
RAINFALL...IGOR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...HISPANIOLA...AND PORTIONS OF THE
BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL ALSO
CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...WHICH WILL WORSEN AS IGOR APPROACHES. SWELLS WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 172047
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
500 PM AST FRI SEP 17 2010
...JULIA GRADUALLY WEAKENING....
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 48.2W
ABOUT 1525 MI...2450 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. JULIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
AND NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JULIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. CONTINUED GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
