Tropical Storm Lee
Public Advisory 14
000
WTNT33 KNHC 050234
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011
...LEE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...FLOODING RAINS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO THE APPALACHIANS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 91.4W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WSW OF MCCOMB MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
NONE
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF LEE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL TO
THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER. LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS LEE BECOMES AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10
TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE
FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE ALONG
THE GULF COAST FROM LOUISIANA TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO
PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR LOCATION-SPECIFIC STORM TIDE
AND STORM SURGE INFORMATION.
TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON LEE. FUTURE INFORMATION ON LEE CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT
400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 050234
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 04 2011
...CATEGORY TWO KATIA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO BRING
HAZARDOUS SURF TO PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 61.0W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 655 MI...1060 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KATIA COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON MONDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PARTS
OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...BERMUDA...THE GREATER
ANTILLES...AND EAST-FACING BEACHES OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. SWELLS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE EARLY MONDAY. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
