Hurricane Maria
Public Advisory 20
071
WTNT35 KNHC 111450
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011
...NATE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST NORTH
OF BARRA DE NAUTLA IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 96.8W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM N OF BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
NATE WILL CROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ
LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NATE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY...AND DISSIPATE BY TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND WILL SPREAD INLAND IN A SMALL AREA NEAR
THE CENTER OF NATE.
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
083
WTNT34 KNHC 111451
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 11 2011
...CENTER OF MARINA PASSING JUST NORTH OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...STRONG WINDS REMAIN WELL NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 64.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNE OF ST. THOMAS
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ENE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF MARIA.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
MARIA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN ISLANDS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325
KM...TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
