Hurricane Ophelia

Public Advisory 18



051
WTNT32 KNHC 250832
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
500 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011

...PHILIPPE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 29.8W
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.8 WEST. PHILIPPE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND PHILIPPE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



568
WTNT31 KNHC 250841
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
500 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011

...OPHELIA BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 59.5W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW
LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI