Hurricane Ophelia
Public Advisory 34
743
WTNT32 KNHC 010243
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
...PHILIPPE FACING HEADWINDS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 46.4W
ABOUT 1255 MI...2020 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST. PHILIPPE
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. PHILIPPE IS BEGINNING TO ENCOUNTER SOME UNFAVORABLE
UPPER-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE
OPHELIA...AND PHILIPPE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
986
WTNT31 KNHC 010247
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
...OPHELIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR NOAA
BUOY 41049 OVERNIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 63.1W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE OF
OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY. A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A 1 MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF
45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST TO 54 MPH...86 KM/H.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
