Hurricane Philippe
Public Advisory 30
943
WTNT31 KNHC 011443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
1100 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
...CORE OF INTENSE HURRICANE OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF
BERMUDA LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 62.9W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. OPHELIA HAS
INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR
21 MPH...33 KM/H. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD
BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN
NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
047
WTNT32 KNHC 011444
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1100 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
...PHILIPPE TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...MOVING INTO A MORE HOSTILE
ENVIRONMENT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 48.0W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1840 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST.
PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. PHILIPPE IS MOVING INTO A MORE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT...AND
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
