Hurricane Kirk

Public Advisory 15



106
WTNT32 KNHC 010846
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 AM AST SAT SEP 01 2012

...LESLIE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 53.5W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LESLIE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG



873
WTNT31 KNHC 010846
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
500 AM AST SAT SEP 01 2012

...KIRK MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 48.2W
ABOUT 830 MI...1330 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 1185 MI...1910 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIRK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. KIRK IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KIRK IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. KIRK IS FORECAST TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA