Hurricane Leslie

Public Advisory 10



325
WTNT31 KNHC 012037
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
500 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2012

...KIRK MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.5N 44.3W
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.3 WEST. KIRK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND KIRK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON SUNDAY AND
BE ABSORBED BY A FRONT BY MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



626
WTNT32 KNHC 012039
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2012

...LESLIE BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 57.3W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM ENE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS EXPECTED
TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE