Hurricane Leslie
Public Advisory 31
265
WTNT33 KNHC 070232
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1100 PM AST THU SEP 06 2012
...MICHAEL CREEPING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 40.8W
ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST AT A CONTINUED SLOW SPEED IS EXPECTED
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
759
WTNT32 KNHC 070233
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM AST THU SEP 06 2012
...LESLIE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...
...SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 62.2W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3
DAYS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. LESLIE IS
STATIONARY...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. A NORTHWARD
DRIFT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH A SLIGHTLY FASTER NORTHWARD
MOTION EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LESLIE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY...WHILE SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN
WINDS OF 54 MPH...86 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 65 MPH...104 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. A NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE LESLIE ON
FRIDAY MORNING.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
