Hurricane Leslie

Public Advisory 4



203
WTNT31 KNHC 310847
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
500 AM AST FRI AUG 31 2012


...HURRICANE KIRK WITH 105-MPH WINDS MOVES OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 50.9W
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1470 MI...2360 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KIRK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST. KIRK IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS KIRK OVER THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KIRK IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON
SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



262
WTNT32 KNHC 310848
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 AM AST FRI AUG 31 2012

...LESLIE STRENGTHENS MORE...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 47.8W
ABOUT 940 MI...1510 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.8 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...LESLIE IS
EXPECTED TO STAY NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG