Hurricane Leslie

Public Advisory 40



258
WTNT33 KNHC 090847
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012

...MICHAEL CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 42.7W
ABOUT 925 MI...1485 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE...BUT
OVERALL MICHAEL SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



259
WTNT32 KNHC 090849
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012

...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS REPORTED ON BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 62.5W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A NORTHWARD MOTION
WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH...72 KM/H...WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT AN AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING STATION ON ST. DAVIDS
ISLAND BERMUDA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA TODAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ON BERMUDA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN