Hurricane Leslie
Public Advisory 42
911
WTNT33 KNHC 092033
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012
...MICHAEL MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...
...MAINTAINING A LARGE-SIZED EYE...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 43.8W
ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND
THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS FORECAST ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
MICHAEL COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
327
WTNT32 KNHC 092033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012
...LESLIE MOVING SLOWLY PAST BERMUDA...
...WILL HEAD FOR NEWFOUNDLAND NEXT...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 62.1W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
INTERESTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA THIS EVENING. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
WITH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...AND LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NEWFOUNDLAND BY
TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO...AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS BY TUESDAY. LESLIE
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A TRANSFORMATION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL OR
FRONTAL CYCLONE AS IT APPROACHES NEWFOUNDLAND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD END OVER BERMUDA SOMETIME
THIS EVENING.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ON BERMUDA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
