Hurricane Leslie
Public Advisory 47
584
WTNT33 KNHC 110248
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1100 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012
...MICHAEL MAINTAINING HURRICANE STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 48.0W
ABOUT 1175 MI...1895 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH FURTHER
ACCELERATION IS FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
MICHAEL COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
513
WTNT32 KNHC 110257
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012
...LESLIE PROGRESSING RAPIDLY TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND...
...OUTER RAINBANDS BRUSHING EXTREME EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA
AND SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.7N 57.5W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
ANTICIPATED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD MOVE OVER
EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE WEATHER WILL
STEADILY DETERIORATE LATER TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ONLY SMALL CHANGES IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED BEFORE LESLIE
MOVES OVER NEWFOUNDLAND...AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...
335 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD AFFECT
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...AND THE CANADIAN ATLANTIC
PROVINCES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND EASTERN NOVA
SCOTIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH LESLIE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
