Hurricane Leslie

Public Advisory 7



761
WTNT31 KNHC 010236
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 31 2012

...KIRK WEAKENS SOME MORE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.9N 49.5W
ABOUT 905 MI...1455 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 1285 MI...2070 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIRK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST. KIRK IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KIRK IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
KIRK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT 48
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



605
WTNT32 KNHC 010244
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 31 2012

...LESLIE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 52.8W
ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LESLIE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED BY LATE
SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO
PASS WELL NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN