Tropical Storm Fernand

Public Advisory 4

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731
WTNT31 KNHC 260832
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FERNAND ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013
400 AM CDT MON AUG 26 2013

...FERNAND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 96.9W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNAND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST. FERNAND IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER LAND...AND
FERNAND SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND A
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...AND
EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH