Hurricane Bertha

Public Advisory 7



598
WTNT33 KNHC 021453
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 02 2014

...CENTER OF BERTHA PASSING JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 66.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES
VIEJO TO ISLA SAONA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT...WITH THIS MOTION
CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF BERTHA SHOULD PASS NEAR PUERTO RICO TODAY...NEAR OR OVER
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A CARIBBEAN INTEGRATED
COASTAL OCEAN OBSERVING SYSTEM BUOY LOCATED SOUTH OF ST. THOMAS
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 44 MPH...68 KM/H...AND A WIND
GUST OF 72 MPH...115 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY EARLY SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE COULD OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY MONDAY.

RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AS WELL AS THE TURKS AND CAICOS
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO...WITH
THE HEAVIEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
ISLAND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN