Hurricane Joaquin

Public Advisory 26A



779
WTNT31 KNHC 040552
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOAQUIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
200 AM AST SUN OCT 04 2015

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE JOAQUIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
BERMUDA...
...CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA WILL DETERIORATE LATER THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 68.2W
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.02 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was
located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 68.2 West. Joaquin is
moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward
the north-northeast is expected this morning, with this motion
continuing through early Monday. On the forecast track, the
center of Joaquin will pass near Bermuda this afternoon or early
tonight.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with
higher gusts. Joaquin is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The latest minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance
aircraft is 949 mb (28.02 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are first expected to reach Bermuda
later this morning, with hurricane conditions expected by Sunday
afternoon.

RAINFALL: Outer rain bands of Joaquin will begin to affect Bermuda
later this morning, and the hurricane is expected to produce 3 to 5
inches of rainfall over Bermuda through Monday.

SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect portions
of the Bahamas during the next few days. Swells are affecting much
of the southeastern coast of the United States and will spread
northward along the east coast of the United States through the
weekend. Swells from Joaquin will affected Bermuda through
Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Even though Joaquin is expected to pass well
east of the coast of the United States, a prolonged period of
elevated water levels and large waves will affect the mid-Atlantic
region, causing significant beach and dune erosion with moderate
coastal flooding likely. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



779
WTNT31 KNHC 040552
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOAQUIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
200 AM AST SUN OCT 04 2015

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE JOAQUIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD
BERMUDA...
...CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA WILL DETERIORATE LATER THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 68.2W
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.02 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was
located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 68.2 West. Joaquin is
moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward
the north-northeast is expected this morning, with this motion
continuing through early Monday. On the forecast track, the
center of Joaquin will pass near Bermuda this afternoon or early
tonight.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with
higher gusts. Joaquin is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The latest minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance
aircraft is 949 mb (28.02 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are first expected to reach Bermuda
later this morning, with hurricane conditions expected by Sunday
afternoon.

RAINFALL: Outer rain bands of Joaquin will begin to affect Bermuda
later this morning, and the hurricane is expected to produce 3 to 5
inches of rainfall over Bermuda through Monday.

SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect portions
of the Bahamas during the next few days. Swells are affecting much
of the southeastern coast of the United States and will spread
northward along the east coast of the United States through the
weekend. Swells from Joaquin will affected Bermuda through
Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Even though Joaquin is expected to pass well
east of the coast of the United States, a prolonged period of
elevated water levels and large waves will affect the mid-Atlantic
region, causing significant beach and dune erosion with moderate
coastal flooding likely. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown