WTNT33 KNHC 061456
TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016
1000 AM CDT MON JUN 06 2016
...RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS BEGINNING TO REACH THE WEST COAST OF
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Tropical Storm Watch from North of Altamaha Sound to South
Santee River has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Englewood
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to South Santee River South Carolina
Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of Colin. Additional warnings
or watches may be required for parts of this area later this
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was
estimated near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 87.0 West. Colin is
moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
this afternoon. A rapid northeastward motion is expected tonight and
Tuesday. On this track, the center of Colin is forecast to approach
the coast of the Florida Big Bend area late this afternoon or
evening, move across portions of Florida and southeastern Georgia
early Tuesday morning, and move near the southeastern coast of the
United States later on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
to the southeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the
northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, western to northern
Florida, southeastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas
STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts
possible in a few locations.
Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft.
Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf are possible along the
Atlantic coast from Florida to South Carolina within the tropical
storm warning area.
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
Gulf coast within the warning area this afternoon, and the Atlantic
coast within the warning area by early Tuesday.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
portions of Florida and far southern Georgia.
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.